By: Paul Ormerod

Paul Ormerod is an economist at Volterra Partners LLP, author and an Honorary Professor at the Alliance Business School at the University of Manchester

All 157 Articles

Recent Conservative governments have been more left wing than Attlee

Opinion

Here’s a Christmas quiz: Which has been Britain’s most left-wing government? According to Paul Ormerod, it’s not the one you think…. The extended Christmas holidays loom. One way of filling the time is to think about crucial questions such as who is England’s greatest ever batsman, which football club side is the best the world [...]
It may already be too late for Labour

Opinion

The popularity of the Labour party has plunged since the election, and history tells that once a certain narrative has taken hold, it’s very difficult to turn it around, says Paul Ormerod Since the general election in July, the popularity of both the Prime Minister and the Labour Party has fallen sharply. Labour’s share of [...]
It’s time for England to stop subsidising Scotland and Wales

Opinion

The devolved nations are living on another planet economically because England essentially pays for their deficits. This has to stop, says Paul Ormerod Every single pensioner will continue to receive payments towards their winter fuel. This is not some fantasy world in which the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, has abandoned one of her flagship policies. It [...]

It’s not as easy to count the number of ‘working people’ as you might think

November 27, 2024

How many people are employed in the UK today? This is not just a question in a pub quiz for boffins. It is one with important practical implications. Changes in the number of people employed is a key piece of information which the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee takes into account when setting interest [...]
Office for Value for Money: Can more bureaucracy really improve productivity?

November 13, 2024

Public sector productivity has remained the same for 25 years. Can more bureaucracy help it, Paul Ormerod asks.
Investment can boost growth – if it comes with technological progress

November 6, 2024

Economic theory does regard capital investment as a contributor to economic growth, but there is another essential factor: technical progress, says Paul Ormerod The need to boost the UK’s rate of economic growth was a central theme of the first budget delivered by Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor. Reeves emphasised the importance of increasing the amount [...]
How will the bond markets react to the Budget?

October 30, 2024

For all the government’s promises of stability and hoped-for reductions in interest rates, UK yields on government bonds are now, in fact, very similar to the levels to which they rose under the ill-fated Truss government, says Paul Ormerod There has been a huge amount of speculation about the Budget. Later today we will of [...]
Borrowing to invest is all very well but what about value for money?

October 23, 2024

The precise contents of the budget are still secret. But a widely trailed theme is that the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, wants to create as much scope as possible for extra public sector investment. She appears to be willing to rewrite the existing fiscal rules in order to accommodate the increase. In principle of course there [...]
Will carbon capture work? Nobody knows – and that’s the problem

October 16, 2024

UK’s clumsy carbon capture punt is result of top down intervention – but there’s a better way, writes Paul Ormerod The government confirmed this month the funding for the UK’s first carbon capture sites. The technology, it is claimed, captures CO2 emissions before they reach the atmosphere and stores them away safely. Based on Merseyside [...]
The threat of higher taxes is already harming growth

October 9, 2024

An important reason why there was zero growth in June and July is that households are saving bigger proportions of their incomes, says Paul Ormerod The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, had made no secret of her desire to make economic growth her top policy objective. She reinforced the message this week in an interview with the [...]

Nigel Farage ‘hasn’t got a clue’ how to fix the economy, says Rachel Reeves

What to expect from sports law in 2025: Man City, Saudi and the ‘unlikely MVP’

Our film editor’s 15 best movies of 2024, from Dune to Poor Things

By: Paul Ormerod

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