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Huw Pill

  • Bank of England should cut interest rates at ‘more cautious pace’, Huw Pill urges

    Economics

    The Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill has renewed calls for interest rates to be cut at a “more cautious pace” in the next year, adding to the likelihood that Bank Rate may be held at four per cent for the foreseeable future.  In a speech delivered on Friday, Pill said efforts to lower [...]

    Chief economist Huw Pill said "consistency" was key to the Bank of England's quantitative tightening programme (Photo by: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
  • Bank of England’s Pill: We should not have slowed QT bond sales

    Economics

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has hit out at colleagues’ recent decision to slow sales of the central bank’s government debt stockpile, warning it risked papering over underlying drivers of spiking government borrowing costs and causing a “more painful” crisis in the future. In a speech delivered in Geneva, Huw Pill told delegates that [...]

    Chief economist Huw Pill said "consistency" was key to the Bank of England's quantitative tightening programme (Photo by: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
  • Hawks vs Doves: Bank of England’s MPC will hold interest rates – but expect dissent

    Economics

    In the last year, the Bank of England has cut interest rates five times on the expectation that price rises were easing in the UK.  When inflation hit a 41-year high of 11.1 per cent in October 2022, policymakers at the Bank warned that its fight to battle inflation was “sacrosanct”.  The relentless spiralling of [...]

    The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates on Thursday.
  • Once bitten, twice inflated: The Bank of England’s rate cut conundrum

    August 14, 2025

    After the MPC’s historic second vote on interest rates, is the Bank of England torn between fears of recession and inflation, asks Helen Thomas Seventeen years ago this month, the Bank of England produced its quarterly Inflation Reportas usual. In the 56 pages, the Bank’s forecasters laid out carefully crafted charts andanalysis of how growth [...]

  • Bank of England cuts interest rates in historic vote 

    August 7, 2025

    The Bank of England has cut interest rates to four per cent in an unprecedented double vote as Monetary Policy Committee members clashed on the impacts of a crumbling jobs market and higher food prices.  Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members were told to vote a second time after four members voting for a 25 basis [...]

  • LIVE: Bank of England cuts interest rates to four per cent

    August 7, 2025

    The Bank of England has slashed interest rates to the lowest level in more than two years at four per cent. The decision to cut rates from 4.25 per cent comes after members were told to vote for a second time after facing a split decision. It follows the Bank’s chief economist, Huw Pill, telling [...]

  • The Bank of England’s trouble-free decision to cut interest rates

    August 6, 2025

    The Bank of England has long suffered from the accusation of groupthink. Reforms have been mooted – and some have been implemented – but it has struggled to shake off the charge. Economists at the Cato Institute and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) have, for example, pointed the blame at Threadneedle [...]

  • Bank of England to cut interest rates but faces dilemma on outlook

    August 4, 2025

    The Bank of England is unlikely to signal faster interest rate cuts at this Thursday’s meeting, leading economists have said, leaving the future of monetary policy in the balance.  Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members are widely expected to agree to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to four per cent.  But City analysts have [...]

  • Bank of England officials set to clash on interest rates

    July 30, 2025

    Bank of England policymakers are set to spar on whether to hold or cut interest rates as City analysts are expecting a three-way split in the final vote.  The Bank saw a 6-3 vote in favour of holding interest rates at 4.25 per cent in June while the meeting before in May saw four dissenting [...]

  • UBS creates AI tool to monitor interest rate cuts  

    May 21, 2025

    UBS has created an AI model that takes a view on central bank’s hawks and doves when interest rates are set in a bid to cut through the noise of hard-to-read press conferences.  In a new policy paper spanning 38 pages, the Swiss bank revealed that its new tool is adept at “measuring the tone [...]

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