Budget 2016: Economists warn of tough times ahead for the British consumer February 29, 2016 British households will have to rein in their spending next year as inflation creeps back up and a fresh round of austerity bites, economic forecasters are warning today. The EY Item Club, which uses Treasury models to make its forecasts, said consumers will enjoy “one last hurrah” this year while inflation remains below one per [...]
George Osborne must liberate business from burdensome red tape if he wants to bolster UK growth March 16, 2016 The rumour mill is churning. Will George Osborne ease up on businesses in today’s Budget? Companies have shouldered a lot of responsibility for his plans so far. The chancellor justified giveaways in the last Autumn Statement with better-than-expected economic growth and, crucially, a series of levies on firms. A raft of new measures have been announced [...]
EU referendum: Seven Brexit myths debunked by economists at Berenberg April 22, 2016 With so many unknowns going into the EU referendum, there have been plenty of claims and counter-claims being made about the impact leaving the union could have on the UK. But economists at Berenberg claim the debate has been "shrouded in myths, rather than driven by facts or reasonable arguments". Now the team is embarking on a [...]
From public sector pensions to social care, the government is scarily ill-prepared for major demographic change December 13, 2016 The gap between private and public sector pensions in the UK is the worst in the developed world, according to the OECD. New civil servants can expect to receive a 6 per cent pay rise when they reach retirement, while private sector workers can expect a cut of nearly 50 per cent. Mounting pressures on social [...]
Osborne’s “rhetoric on tax credits is just empty words” due to lack of analysis – Helen Goodman October 15, 2015 The government's controversial decision to cut tax credits has come under renewed fire after it emerged that its analysis of the distributional effects of measures in the July Budget, including changes to tax credits and the national living wage, has been largely absent. In July the Treasury select committee was surprised not to receive the distributional [...]
Tesco full-year results: Three things you need to know April 10, 2016 Tesco may just have a shock in store for shareholders and the rest of the City – and for once, it's a good one. Call it a belated Easter gift. The struggling supermarket is about to report a surprise turnaround in sales after Dave Lewis's crack of the whip over the past several months. Belt tightening [...]
Business services drive rebound in private sector growth January 4, 2016 The private sector gained momentum toward the end of the year, according to survey figures released this morning. The Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) growth indicator strengthened in the final three months of 2015, with growth driven by the services sector. Manufacturers continued to struggle, the CBI said. The difference between the percentage of firms reporting [...]
Industrial strategy needs a three-pillared approach to boost British productivity February 15, 2017 It is clear that government intervention is required to address faltering productivity across the UK, and that this could be a positive step towards meeting the underlying structural challenges facing the UK economy, such as regional inequality and low wage growth. The government has now released its industrial strategy to address such issues. So how does [...]
Markit’s service sector survey eases concerns over economic growth December 3, 2015 The UK's service sector grew at a faster rate in November, easing concerns that the economy was slowing after weak figures for construction and manufacturing. Markit's service sector purchasing managers' index – a survey of firms – scored 55.9 for November from 54.9 in October. It is a four-month high and is further above the [...]
Ending discrimination against families in the tax and benefits system would mark chancellor Philip Hammond as a true radical November 21, 2016 Every now and again we have a radical government that changes the way things are done. Lots of governments try to give the impression of being radical by implementing swathes of new legislation. But really radical governments that change the course of history are rare. In the post-war period, we have only had the 1945 [...]