Inflation to near 30-year high as Brits prepare to tighten their belts January 17, 2022 The cost of living in Britain will swell to its highest level in nearly three decades, some of the City’s leading economists warned today. Soaring energy bills, compounded by a sharp rise in the price of second-hand cars and petrol costs, will drive inflation to 5.3 per cent, according to Sanjay Raja, Deutsche Bank’s senior [...]
Bank bigwig warns of potential for “massive” crypto crash October 14, 2021 A BANK of England grandee has called for cryptocurrencies to be regulated as a “matter of urgency,” warning that a “massive” market crash is a realistic scenario. Sir Jon Cunliffe, the Bank’s deputy governor for financial stability, said that crypto volatility poses a rapidly growing threat to the world economy. A crash would have the [...]
UK economy spiralling toward ‘troubling’ recession and even higher inflation June 23, 2022 The UK economy is hurtling towards a “troubling” slump that will see it tip into recession and suffer from rampant inflation, reveals a closely watched survey published today. Consumers are responding to the worst cost of living crunch in a generation by cooling spending, while businesses are grappling with flatlining demand, according to S&P Global’s [...]
Andrew Bailey is putting the Bank’s independence at risk if he wavers on inflation May 18, 2022 Andrew Bailey’s ability to steer monetary policy through the inflation crisis will determine the Bank’s future strength
Bank of England to tighten monetary policy to tame runaway inflation August 5, 2021 The Bank of England signalled today it is likely to start reining in the wave of monetary stimulus it unleashed in response to the Covid crisis to control inflation. “At some point, monetary policy may need to tighten so that the MPC can meet its remit” of achieving an inflation target of two per cent, [...]
FOMC decision: Four things to expect from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting June 10, 2020 Policymakers at the US Federal Reserve are set to publish their first set of economic projections of 2020 later today when the Open Market Committee (FOMC) makes its June decision. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates near zero at its FOMC June decision. But all eyes are on the meeting for [...]
Connecting the dots in Europe reveals a continent in decline May 11, 2020 My colleagues at my political risk firm are forced to endure my earlier incarnation as a college professor, as I cannot help but try to instruct them. One of my favourite lectures concerns the absolutely necessary need for a world-class political risk analyst to connect the dots, to clearly link together geopolitical data points that [...]
TheCityUK conference: No ‘free pass’ for Bitcoin as BoE’s Andrew Bailey vows ‘tough love’ on crypto June 15, 2021 Bank of England boss Andrew Bailey has pledged “tough love” as policymakers look to regulate cryptocurrencies, warning that public interest must not be ignored for the sake of innovation. Speaking at TheCityUK’s virtual annual conference earlier today in the City, Bailey said while innovation can challenge existing rules, public interest must be at the heart [...]
Rain Newton-Smith interview: Go for growth to turbocharge economic resilience April 22, 2022 Everyone knows the dismal time the UK economy is in for over the coming year – but let’s recap. Living standards are scheduled to fall at the steepest rate in 66 years as a result of wages failing to keep pace with an average annual inflation rate of over seven per cent, according to the [...]
Average inflation targeting: what is it and what does it mean for investors? September 15, 2020 Late-August saw the Federal Reserve (Fed) hold its keenly-watched annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Against a backdrop of the huge global uncertainty engendered by Covid-19, the focus on the conference was sharp. Central banks have implemented further substantial policy measures to limit the damage from the Covid-19 lockdown and maintain financial stability. Nonetheless, at [...]