Recession is certain – City July 28, 2008 Analysts have declared a UK recession inevitable following official data showing that economic growth in the second quarter of this year slumped to its weakest rate in three years. The Office for National Statistics revealed last week that GDP rose by just 0.2 per cent in the three months to June, bringing the annual rate [...]
Why the global economy is taking a turn for the worse July 28, 2008 What a difference a couple of weeks make. One of the best hedge fund trades of the year had been to go long on oil and short the banks and it paid off handsomely. Buying Nymex oil from 1 January until 11 July would have produced returns of 50 per cent and simply selling the [...]
Optimism remains possible amid the economic meltdown July 24, 2008 UK economic news over the last week has been bad. Consumer prices are now increasing at an annual rate of 3.8 per cent, almost double the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target. Inflation is now likely to reach almost 5 per cent by the autumn. At the same time, the labour market is being [...]
The perfect storm July 16, 2008 Higher than expected inflation figures and growing concerns about the banking sector knocked London’s FTSE 100 index of leading stocks down 2.4 per cent yesterday to under 5,200. The benchmark index has now fallen 23 per cent since a June 2007 high and is in clear bear market territory. Bank stocks, unsettled by fears that [...]
B&B drama caps another day of troubles for UK Plc July 4, 2008 A day of gloom for the global economy was capped late last night by the revelation that private equity group TPG had walked away from its rescue of Bradford & Bingley. The dramatic development, which will see the bank rescued instead by City institutions, came as Moody’s downgraded B&B’s credit for the second time. The [...]
City warns: economy to slow further July 2, 2008 The UK economy, already in its weakest state since the early 1990s recession, is set to slow further, top City economists warned yesterday as the UK was hit by a triple whammy of bad economic news. Data released yesterday revealed that the manufacturing sector contracted at its fastest rate in seven years last month, the [...]
House prices to stay static October 19, 2005 John Watson, chief executive of Bellway, the housebuilder, yesterday dampened expectations of a significant increase in house prices between now and next summer. Commenting as the company delivered otherwise impressive annual results, he said: “My feeling is that it is right to assume nil house price inflation in our next financial year, which is to [...]
US suffers shock inflation increase October 19, 2005 Inflation trends differed markedly on either side of the Atlantic yesterday, with the American producer prices (PPI) confounding analysts with their biggest gain in 15 years, but Britain got off lightly with a consumer price index (CPI) level of just 2.5 per cent. The American PPI shot up by 1.9 per cent on last month, [...]
Brown’s luck has ‘run out’ October 17, 2005 Gordon Brown cannot hide behind high oil prices, according to Ernst & Young’s influential ITEM Club. The group — which uses the same economic modelling system as the Treasury — said that the chancellor’s luck has run out and that the poor shape of the British economy is solely down to domestic failings. Chief economic [...]
OECD gloomy over 2005 growth October 13, 2005 The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) sided with hawks in the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee yesterday, saying there was no need for an interest rate cut despite a flagging economy. It also cut its 2005 forecast for British economic growth from 2.4 to 1.7 per cent in a report released yesterday. [...]