EU referendum: Britain Stronger in Europe and Vote Leave given official designation by the Electoral Commission ahead of Grassroots Out April 13, 2016 Britain Stronger in Europe and Vote Leave have been chosen as the official campaign groups by the Electoral Commission ahead of the referendum in June. Both groups will be entitled to broadcast campaign speeches, receive a publicly funded grant of up to £600,000 and send a leaflet to each household. A higher sending limit of £7m is imposed [...]
EU referendum: Boris Johnson now favourite to be next Tory leader after David Cameron, Ladbrokes odds predict February 21, 2016 Boris Johnson is now the favourite to become the next leader of the Tory party as the world awaits his decision on whether he will back either the campaign to leave or remain in the EU. The outgoing London mayor has jumped ahead of the chancellor George Osborne, according to the latest political betting odds from Ladbrokes. Johnson [...]
Say what you like about the EU referendum – but Brexit isn’t going to hit UK house prices June 13, 2016 Why leaving or staying will have no impact on house prices In the run-up to next Thursday’s referendum, there have been some flabbergasting claims made by both sides. Suppositions made include the premise that leaving the European Union would lead to war and recession (although it was not made clear in what order these will [...]
EU referendum: Conservative MPs threaten to bring down their own government in Brexit row June 15, 2016 A host of Conservative MPs have threatened to vote down a revenue-raising post-Brexit budget as the civil war engulfing the Conservative Party reaches new heights. As George Osborne threatened Brexit would force him to raise new taxes or cut spending to plug a £30bn hold in the public finances, 57 Conservatives have this morning issued [...]
David Cameron’s resignation: Reactions from politicians, analysts and business lobbies in the wake of Brexit vote June 24, 2016 Following yesterday's 51.9 per cent vote in favour of Brexit, Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron has announced he will resign. Cameron said he will stay in office for a short spell, but has set a timeline for a new Prime Minister to be in place in October by the time of the Conservative Party conference. [custom [...]
EU referendum: Citi says Brexit is 10 per cent more likely after mayor of London Boris Johnson backed Brexit February 22, 2016 Has London mayor Boris Johnson boosted the likelihood that Britain will leave the European Union? Analysts at the US investment bank Citi think so. In a note sent to clients today, Michael Saunders, head of European economics at Citi, and Tina Fordham, the bank's chief global political analyst, said they estimated the chances of the UK leaving [...]
EU referendum: This is where each cabinet minister stands February 20, 2016 Prime Minister David Cameron reckons he got a good enough deal to recommend to the British public that it should vote to stay in the EU. So good, in fact, that his cabinet is officially going to make that recommendation. But not every minister agrees, and some want to see the UK leave the EU. [...]
Superforecasting: How seemingly ordinary people can predict everything from world events to election results May 27, 2016 The President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo was having a stressful time in 2013. A rebel militia had just taken control of Goma, a large province with a population of about a million people, and regional powers were putting pressure on him to wrest it back by force. Little did he know that [...]
EU referendum: Top civil servant Jeremy Heywood to face MPs on why pro-Leave ministers are denied access to government papers February 28, 2016 The United Kingdom's top civil servant is to face a grilling by MPs over why ministers supporting Brexit are being denied access to government papers ahead of the impending EU referendum. Sir Jeremy Haywood has been called by the Public Administration Select Committee on Tuesday to explain the guidance that he issued last week. Read more: 42 per cent [...]
Osborne sparks a Tory backlash: Furious MPs blast Treasury report as chancellor George Osborne claims he’s given Britain the facts on EU referendum April 19, 2016 The Treasury's forecasts that UK households will be £4,300 worse off a year by 2030 if we leave the European Union were slammed by eurosceptics yesterday, with MPs calling the chancellor’s report “pathetic” and “desperate”. The split between pro- and anti-EU members of the Tory party widened into a chasm after the Treasury’s analysis claimed that a [...]