EU referendum: Remain leads as Leave camp continues infighting
With over five weeks to go until the UK votes in the EU referendum, Remain continues to lead, as the Leave campaign continues to fight itself.
Some 55 per cent of people support Remain, according to the latest ORB poll, a four per cent rise, while 40 per cent back Leave, a three per cent drop.
Still, it's not all bad for Leave. When considering those who say they will definitely vote, Remain garners 51 per cent of support, while Leave takes 45 per cent.
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As in pervious polls, a key issue continues to be turnout, Sir Lynton Crosby, David Cameron's election guru, said.
He adds that the difference between the population as a whole (where Remain leads by 15 percentage points) and those who say they will definitely vote, indicates that "Britain Stronger in EUrope does not have a sufficiently strong grassroots network".
The problem for Remain, it would seem, is that most people expect Britain to stay in the EU, which means that many who support Remain may not bother to go and vote.
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More people have also now made up their minds on how to vote, indicating, Crosby thinks, how the vote continues to polarise the electorate.
Of note is that the perceived risks – including security and influence – are becoming more prevalent in people's minds, after a slew of reports from institutions including the IMF, Bank of England and the Treasury.
And Remain also has a lead when it comes to depicting a clear vision.
"Perhaps some of those behind the scenes of the Leave campaign should spend less time arguing about whether Nigel Farage should have a TV platform and more time finding and delivering a clearer and simpler message in support of their case," Crosby adds.